Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | October 22, 2014 @ 8:15 pm

TD #9 & Southbound Bird Migration

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We’ve been paying close attention to an area of low pressure that has been gaining steam in the Bay of Campeche and threatens to block migrants way to Mexico via the Caribbean. This disturbance has continued organize and is now TD #9. As we continue to monitor the movement of this storm we realize that birds should be headed south along the Appalachians and the eastern seaboard given current winds.

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Tailwinds are a birds best friend and currently cool northerly winds are in effect. If migrants do indeed take flight, we feel birds will attempt to make long distance flights in hopes of making up for lost time. After the last semi-strong cold front passage, subpar migration conditions have loomed over much of eastern migratory flyway. This has caused many migrants to be stranded, awaiting optimal winds to continue with migration. As conditions gradually improve, birds should be taking to the skies. This could spark long flights from birds that are farther north than they would like to be by now.

Migrants leaving southern GA and northern FL could take a cue from winds and try that long flight, if so they will run into a large area of unfavorable migration conditions over South FL. TD #9 may fall apart, but the heavy precipitation is still forecast to move north into South FL. If this scenario takes place, we feel that a stack up of sorts could take place. Migrants will be forced to land and wait for better conditions which could take some time to clear according to weather forecast models.

So long story short: Birds should be on the wing. With the aid of a tailwind and clear skies, birds may attempt longer flights. Once over South FL, migrants will likely be met with harsh conditions which should cause them to suspend migration. Northerly winds will continue to give migrants to the north a push down the state, only adding to the number of migrants down on the ground awaiting better conditions. We call this a “Stack-up”, it usually involves waves of migrants headed south while waves of precipitation move north into the path of migration causing great concentrations of migrants at migrant traps.

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Take a look at the following forecast maps. Notice the increasing amount precipitation moving in from the south while winds continue to be optimal for migration to our north. We expect some good birding days for the last days of October and beginning of November. Get out there and enjoy these migrants as they try head south for the winter.

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Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | October 15, 2014 @ 8:10 pm

Big Flight Tonight!

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Current Weather Map

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Southeast Mosaic Radar Loop

The moment we’ve all been waiting for, the floodgates are open and birds are taking to the skies. Winds behind the most recent cold front passage are optimal for migration. North and northwesterly winds will give migrants a tailwind allowing for longer flights tonight. On average, migrants will travel approximately 200-300 miles a night, but favorable winds may help them stretch that distance.

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Winds at Surface Level

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Winds at 3,000ft

Winds are the biggest key factor as to when and where birds will migrate. Tonight winds offer an influx of migrants that have been held up by unfavorable conditions north of the state. A new batch of migrants should be expected at migrant traps around the state. Both coastal and inland locations should fare well tomorrow and through the weekend.

Get out there and enjoy the migration!

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | October 3, 2014 @ 4:13 pm

New Batch of Migrants on Tap Tonight!

The first strong cold front of this fall migration season is forecast to slide through northern FL tonight. Traditionally big flights of migratory birds occur on the first night after a fronts passage. Tonight should be no different! Winds will be optimal for migration to the south, this should give migrants a tail wind which could carry them all the way to the Caribbean, Mexico and beyond.

Check out the wind forecast maps (notice the wide array of northwesterly winds pictured, a migrants dream).

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Current forecast

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Weather forecast for the next 36 hrs.

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As long as winds are coming out of the west, we can expect some trans-gulf migrants to be pushed east into the state instead of flying over the Gulf. This also puts more birds on the east coast of the state that wouldn’t usually visit, birds such as Golden-winged & Blue-winged Warblers or maybe some grosbeaks, tanagers, orioles…you never know what’s going to pop up with westerly winds. Caribbean based migrants traveling down the east coast and over the Atlantic usually drop in with threats of bad weather over the western Atlantic. If the frontal boundary brings in storms with it, we could expect a few of these migrant’s to land for a refuel.

We will be at the Wings & Wildflowers Festival in Leesburg, FL this weekend. We are giving a workshop on Radar Birding and a Kids Birding Workshop. Come out and say hi if you will be in town!

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | September 13, 2014 @ 9:56 pm

Will They Stack Up?

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Tropical moisture is still lingering over extreme South FL and threatens to shut down migration out of the state tonight. Birds that landed in South FL and the FL Keys last night and this morning, might get stuck here waiting for better migration conditions if the bands of precipitation and wind hold together. With the impending front coming in from the north we may see a “stack up” of sorts. The front isn’t the strongest and doesn’t boast the stiff northerlies that would trigger a massive movement of migrants, but birds should still move out ahead and behind the frontal boundary.

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Miami radar showing tropical moisture coming in from the south.

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Southeasterly winds feeding the surface low with warm tropical moisture.

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Satellite imagery shows some clear skies north of South FL and frontal boundary along the FL/GA state line.

Southeasterly winds should continue to feed this surface low pressure overnight an into the day on Sunday. This will only increase the chances that birds will stay put and that the storms limited footprint on the state will allow birds flying the clear skies north of South FL to fly into a trap of sorts.

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12hr forecast shows that precipitation moving west into the Gulf may block migration out of the state via the Gulf coast.

We will keep you updated. Check for our post tomorrow :)

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | September 13, 2014 @ 5:45 am

Migration on a Soggy Night

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Migration is heating up across North America! With every night that passes, more and more birds are headed south. Florida birders are beginning to enjoy the daily arrival of neotropical migrants. Those cute little buggers are back and ready to inflict warbler neck. If you aren’t careful you can put yourself out of the game, so take proper measures :)

Today we saw migration ready birds taking flight just after yesterdays sunset. Winds at 3,000ft were ripe for a Gulf Flight and birds took note. Looks likes many birds took the ocean route rather than an overland migration. Signals were pouring out from the Nature Coast as well as the panhandle and out over the Gulf of Mexico. Most of these birds will be able to make it out over the ocean by morning, but some will choose to return. If this happens, coastal migrant traps such as Fort D and Honeymoon Island may see lots of birds after sunrise. Coastal hot spots along the panhandle may also experience some morning flight due to overshoots.

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Central state locations along the east coast may be slower than one would like due to winds. These winds are more conducive with pushing birds to the west and away from coastal locations. This makes inland locations your best bet for today.

Precipitation dominated the night over South FL, particularly the Greater Miami area and the Florida Keys. Birds were on the ground yesterday according to “Boots on the Ground” reports. We heard a few Swainson’s Thrush and Bobolink flying low overhead just after sunset and then again around 2a.m., perfect timing for birds dropping in over Miami. Some of these birds might attempt to fly a bit south, but all this storm activity might have put them down earlier than they expected. With the constant threat of rain and variable winds overnight, we should see an increase in migrant activity. Winds were again favoring inland or west coast locations. Atlantic coastal locations may be overshot by birds riding a tailwind on their descent. Look out for migrants at inland migrant hot spots such as AD Barnes, Kendall Indian Hammock, Lucky Hammock/Annex and other inland locations. Coastal spots should have lesser numbers due to the onshore winds.

The Keys are likely to see birds stacking up as they await favorable migration conditions. We expect an increase from yesterday’s reports of migrants on the ground. Hope to hear from the FKH Crew.

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Hit us up on our Badbirdz Facebook page and tell us what you are seeing. What new birds did you see or hear? How did the weather affect your birding spot today? We want to hear from you :)

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | August 1, 2014 @ 3:21 pm

Purple Martin or Wading Bird Roost?

Hey all,

 

We’ve been looking for our local Miami area Purple Martin roost via NEXRAD radar and noticed this apparent roost ring in the Cedar Key, FL area.  Do we have any readers in this area that may be able to confirm the species involved?  Cedar Key Scrub State Reserve and Waccasassa Bay Preserve State Park are in the area, as well as Cedar Key Museum State Park.  These may be good spots to investigate the roost further.  If you can confirm the species involved please post here via the comments link below or at our Badbirdz Reloaded Facebook page.  Thanks in advance :)

 

The video is embedded below or you can follow this link, Roost Ring – Cedar Key 7/2014

Nature is Awesome

Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | May 8, 2014 @ 1:47 am

Migrants Push North

Winds are ripe for success tonight and the birds know it! Good flying weather with a tail wind, what else would a migrant bird want? Below are images and links to National and Miami radar loops as well wind maps that help you understand why birds pick good nights to migrate.

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Winds at surface levels look good, but winds at 3,000 feet are GREAT! Time to move for the birds.

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National Composite radar showing many migrants on the move north. The Great Lakes Region looks amazing and let’s not forget coastal migration along the Carolina’s north into Maine.

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Migrants are still making the flight across the FL Straits. New crop of birds for west coast FL birders.

Miami radar recorded birds coming in from the east. This could be a good indication that a few Connecticut Warblers have made it to our local migrant traps. This also elevates the chances of a vagrant such as Western Spindalis, Bahama Mockingbird or other Carib vagrant. Click on the links below for radar loops of migrants coming over from the east into the Miami radar. Birds also leaving the Everglades region and flying to the NW.
Miami Radar Loop
National Composite Radar Loop
National Composite radar loop

Hope the migration gods bring you all some new goodies :)

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | May 3, 2014 @ 4:28 am

Stalling Front & Migration Ready Birds

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Hey all

This weekend may prove to be the most productive birding weekend we’ve had all spring in South FL. An approaching cold front has stalled over Central FL, elevating the possibility of precipitation overnight for the Lake Okeechobee area. Ahead of this frontal boundary, increasing moisture is forecast to move through South FL and could spark scattered to isolated showers. With winds out of the SW and eventually WEST as the front approaches, migrants that decide to fly should be vectored towards the Atlantic Coast. We are just stepping into the Connecticut Warbler migration window and west winds usually do the trick, so keep your eyes open for the sulky birds.

If this forecast holds true, our Sunday morning Bill Baggs Cape FL SP walk should provide some great birding. Meet us at the front gate of the park on Sunday, May 4th @ 8:00a.m.

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IR Satellite shows lots of cloud cover making it hard for migrants to fly high and navigate. This could lead to an increase in audible flight calls as well as birds on the ground Sat & Sun.

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Winds at surface levels. Notice the difference in wind direction ahead and behind the frontal boundary. This is why cold fronts are so effective at knocking birds down. Rain and headwinds are two factors a migrant doesn’t want to deal with.

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Winds at 3,000ft are holding true to the forecast and are blowing out of the WSW and looks to be W by morning. This should push birds east and into South FL.

Hope you enjoyed! Let us know what you are seeing :)

See you out there!
Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | April 30, 2014 @ 10:00 pm

Southerly Influence

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20140501-024605.jpg Satellite shows the tail end of the front hanging southwest towards Central America. This will disrupt migration for birds making a Gulf Crossing.

A front is making its way east along the panhandle and will continue its path to the SE in the days to come. The front moved into the panhandle with stiff winds and lots of precipitation aboard. Reports came in late Wednesday of 17+ inches of rain in the western panhandle and loads of birds along with the bad weather. Winds over the Gulf of Mexico (GOM) and south into the Caribbean Sea (CS) are forecast to keep the pipeline of migrants flowing for a few more days. Weather will be the main steering factor and with some luck the birds will make it past the front before being cutoff. If migrants run into the frontal boundary halfway through the journey they will meet some serious opposition in the way of winds. As of right now it seems as if migrant traps along the Nature Coast south to the Bay Area could be the place to be. West winds associated with this front may well be in place 150 nautical miles south into the GOM, essentially vectoring birds towards the east. Upper level winds @ 3,000ft should also direct migrants towards the Nature Coast and the Bay Area.

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Below are GFS Model Forecast that paint an interesting picture for the next few days. Note wind direction ahead and behind the frontal boundary.

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Let us know what you find tomorrow and Friday, keep some notes on weather conditions (wind direction/speed, current conditions and location) or any other significant factors that may have affected migration where you birded.

Enjoy the birding y’all!

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

Posted by: NatureIsAwesome | April 18, 2014 @ 11:42 am

Big Low Pres

A large area of low pressure is brewing in the Gulf of Mexico just west of the Tampa/Sarasota region. While this low advanced eastward, birds were making advances from the south. Winds were not 100% optimal, but birds decided they were going for it.

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Image taken just after 1:00a.m. Migrants aloft over the FL Straits.

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Key West radar shows migration high overhead.

As sunrise approached migrants were well on their way to the southwest corner of the state. Flying over the Gulf and the Ten Thousand Islands. Birds that were flying high enough in altitude may have been able to see or sense the large low pressure area which is violent with rain and gale force winds. These birds are likely to suspend migration and either head for land or drop out if they were already migrating over land. Birds that were flying at lower altitudes are likely flying slower and seem to have continued to fly into the morning.

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Radar at 9:30a.m. recorded migration still underway with a impending low pressure system moving east towards the Tampa/Sarasota region.

***Calling all birders along the west coast of the state***
Please drop us a comment below or at our FB page
Let us know what the birding was like. We expect birds to be coming in for you guys to gawk over :) With the impending weather moving in, stay safe and dry. Storms imbedded in this low are looking impressive on radar and likely capable of damaging winds and possibly hail and tornadoes. Be safe, but BIRD ON friends!

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Images 1&2: Satellite imagery showing us what radar cannot. A big area of low pressure brewing in the Gulf. 3:Tampa radar picking up migration and showing the storm as it makes its way into radar range. 4: Current NWS graphic showing the estimated location of the stalled front that has retreated back as a warm front.

Nature is Awesome
Angel & Mariel

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